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Showing posts from November, 2009

30th November - Today's news

Back from Stirling - and some kind soul gave me a cold on the train ..... Ironically the weather has also finally turned cold, albeit just briefly, with most hills seeing at least a dusting of snow over the weekend and tonight for many the first air frost of the season - which, assuming that's the case in Evesham, will be the latest I've recorded my first air frost.

More rain in Britain this weekend - rain continues as winter weather brings more floods and floods spark caravan parks rescue

Melbourne storm creates travel havoc whilst severe thunderstorms hit SE Queensland

In Chile, northern beaches open early because of hot weather

Buffalo, where's the snow? - the US city is experiencing it's 4th longest snowless streak on record.

Outraged Saudis blast govt after deadly Jeddah flood

And it's just as well it's not the 25th December as wind gusts topple trees, delay Santa

Climate 'time bombs' stoke scientists' fears

Winds blow clouds of ash from S Calif mo…

26th November - Today's News

An increasing number of media commentators and bloggers - including George Monbiot - have been jumping on the 'climategate' bandwagon and adding their tuppence worth of uninformed opinion - almost all of it scathing against Professor Jones etal. In every case these commentators have 2 things in common: 1) they appear not to read the actual files, do not know the context in which certain emails were written and are relying entirely on other bloggers for their information and 2) the general public will believe that what they write must be true .....

Next week they'll be telling us all about the alien cheese mines on the Moon and the public will be boycotting cheddar!

If you are going to report on a conspiracy theory, check all the facts first - don't just rely on what the conspiracy theorists tell you! Is that really to hard to understand?

There's a slightly better report from the New York Times: Stolen emails sharpen a brawl between climate scientists and skeptics

25th November - Today's News

Well, another stormy night here last night - winds seemed the strongest yet - with another 8mm of rain bringing the month's total so far up to 100mm - that's about twice the normal amount but rather a lot less than some places have had. No problems with local rivers as yet although on the Severn the flood barriers are going up as the heavy rain over Wales of the past week or so works it's way downstream.

We start today with tragic news from down under as world's oldest sheep dies in Australian heatwave - baaaaaa - whilst records fall in long, hot spring.

Scottish flooding 'to get worse' and experts predict more bad weather for Cumbria whilst in Ireland they're saying extreme weather will be the norm.

In Canada, cold, windy weather extinguishes Olympic torch - a dozen times so far. I think that's meant to be unlucky? Doesn't bode well, especially since El Nino could be too warm for Olympics. Grass ski-ing instead perhaps?

Phil Jones and colleagues ma…

24th November - Today's News

New Zealand glaciers melting away, but don't panic ... there's more ice on the way with over 100 icebergs drifting to N Zealand.

No let up in Malaysia as flood situation worsens in Kelantan, Perak - meanwhile, here, Minister warns of new UK flood threat. More rain to come, especially for those areas hardest hit already. Yesterday, however it was a different problem - tornado leaves trail of destruction as wild weather continues to sweep across Britain.

CO2 curve ticks upwards as key climate talks loom

Supervolcano eruption in Sumatra deforested India 73,000 years ago it also ushered in the coldest spell of the last ice age and nearly managed to wipe humankind out. Some think it would have been better had it succeeded ....

Is global warming unstoppable?
In a provocative new study, a University of Utah scientist argues that rising carbon dioxide emissions -- the major cause of global warming -- cannot be stabilized unless the world's economy collapses or society builds the equ…

23rd November - Today's News

Month's worth of rain falls on Melbourne

Wildfires sweep across eastern Australia

In Britain, further rain and gales batter South-west (Saturday was actually the wettest day in Evesham since July). More rain is not what those in the flood stricken parts of the British Isles want, but sadly there is yet more forecast in the coming days with no let up in the stormy weather as gales queue up to batter Britain. Once again today I've added the latest news stories specific to last weeks floods here. Meanwhile, other parts of the world have also been experiencing flood problems. In Malaysia, the flood situation in Terengganu, Kelantan deteriorates further whilst in Canada Vancouver Island evacuees survey the damage as flood risk eases and flash floods, landslide force 50,000 to flee their homes in Indonesia.

Greenland ice loss behind a sixth of sea level rise whilst in Antarctica, World's largest ice sheet melting faster than expected.

21st November - Today's News

Stories relating to the flooding in Britain and Ireland will again be added here

Elsewhere in the world:

300 homes evacuated, schools closed after heavy rain, high tide flood Duncan, B.C.

Wild storms hit Melbourne after scorcher

Climate change causing 'corrosive' water to affect Arctic marine life

Combined global surface temperature was 6th warmest for October - I thought we were cooling?

And, apart from the floods, the other big breaking news story yesterday was the revelation that the computer server used by the Climate Research Unit at the University of East Anglia had been hacked and a large number of emails and other documents removed. This were then made widely available ...... Certain blogs leapt on these with glee, posting carefully selected comments which could be misinterpreted and taken out of context to imply improbity and collusion amongst some climate scientists to 'fiddle' data in order to show global warming. I've seen nothing that suggests that that …

20th November - Today's News

19th - 20th November - Serious Floods in Britain and Ireland

The flooding in Cumbria has been even worse than I anticipated, with unconfirmed reports of around 340mm of rain falling at one location with a 48 hour period - if correct this will be the highest recorded 48 hour rainfall event in the UK, easily beating the 306mm that fell at Kinlochhourn in the West Highlands on the 5th/6th February 1989. It's also possible the UK's 24 hour rainfall record may have been broken. Confirmed totals won't be known for a while yet though.

Update: Seathwaite is reported as having recorded 314mm rain in a 24 hour period.

I've decided to collate all news stories and related links into this one blog entry to make it easier for future reference. So to start with, this was originally posted yesterday:

19th November 2009

First an update of stories relating to the on-going serious flooding across many parts of Britain:

Yesterday there were schools closed and another nightmare commute in West Yorkshire and in Bury, a woman rescued from car as severe …

Assessment of Weatheraction Forecast

Now, let's just see how accurate Piers Corbyn's forecast for this week really was:
N Sea Storm Surge Stormy with heavy rain - snow & blizzards in Scot & N/E later. N Sea storm & coastal flood warnings East Anglia & Holland 18-19/20th enhanced by new moon 16/17th (Red oval = danger sea level rise) S Ireland & S/W less wet & windy.

Atlantic ridge, powerful deep 'dartboard low' moving E centered N of Scot going into Scand
N Sea Storm Surge - No
Stormy with heavy rain - Yes
Snow & Blizzards in Scot & N/E - No
N Sea storm and coastal warnings in East Anglia & Holland - No
S Ireland & S/W less wet and windy - No
Atlantic Ridge - No
Deep Low moving into Scandinavia - No

He failed on all bar one point. And it's been stormy with heavy rain for the past week and likely to continue so well into next week - something else Pier's failed to forecast. His forecast also showed that for the SW there would "showers turning wintry later with …

18th November - Today's News

And so the wind and rain continues - and looks certain to do so well into next week. A lot of rain likely in parts, mainly the North and West of the UK with river flooding now a high risk as much of the ground is now saturated. All parts getting gales, severe at times. But at least it will be mild ....... !

Heavy rain sparks driver warning

Flood alert as gales batter Wales

Britain braced for 60mph gales while half the month's rain is expected to fall today (being the Daily Mail the headline is a bit misleading - some parts of the UK will see very little rain, but to the north and west rainfall totals could be 50% of the average for the whole month. Many places - including Evesham - have already seen over 100% of their average month's rainfall - hence the flood concern.)

Expect many more news stories of disruption, damage and floods over the coming days. Meanwhile, the Met Office have issued theior report on the Stormy weather 13 and 14 November 2009.

Elsewhere:

Starvation '…

17th November - Today's News

Managed to catch some of the Leonid meteor shower earlier this morning with one bright fireball seen and a few lesser meteors captured on camera. Fortunately we're having a brief dry, sunny interlude in the run of storms which look like getting quite nasty again by the weekend.

In Calcutta, celsius sets November record

Russia is getting bigger, physically

2 dead as heavy rain, storms, batter B.C.

In Ireland, landslide derails train and closes commuter line

More unintended consequences of human activity on the environment: dissolved arsenic in Bangladesh drinking water is from human alteration of landscape

And just in case anyone felt complacent about climate change: Global Warming will bring killer heat, floods and storms to Britain. Note 'will' ..... That's the media for you - never indicate uncertainty when it comes to doom and destruction!

16th November - Today's News

Kicking off with a round-up of reports from the stormy weather that affected mostly just the very southern parts of the UK over the weekend.

There were 2 reports of tornadoes, both from East Anglia:

Mini tornado hits Lowestoft and 60 houses damaged as tornado hits Benfleet - the latter was actually filmed by a UKweatherworld forum member and can be see on youtube here. There's also excellent discussion, photos and the initial site investigation report from Paul Sherman on Ukweatherworld.

There was a lucky escape from overturned caravan as weather wreaks havoc in North Wales whilst homeowners warned to expect more floods.

The strongest wind gust recorded was 100mph at the very exposed Needles Lighthouse on the Isle of Wight - though that figure inevitably made it into the media headlines such as storm batters southern England, bringing 100mph winds whilst according to The Daily MailBritain prepares for another battering after biggest storm of the year washes out the weekend - anyone…

14th November - Today's News

It was wet and windy overnight, but nothing too bad here. However, in the SW heavy rain and gales cause chaos, in the SE homes flood amid weather warning and in Wales too weather warning as floods strike. With a risk of tornadoes today, there're likely to be more reports on Monday.

Meanwhile, in Australia heatwave causes chaos across SA and in the USA bridges reopen in NJ as flooding starts to ease as nor'easter worst storm to hit Shore in decade

Greenland ice cap melting faster than ever - which is not exactly an indication of an imminent 'little ice age' as the global coolers would have us believe is about to happen!

Brazil says Amazon deforestation slowest in 21 years

China mayor apologises after heaviest snow in 60 years kills 38

Global warming is not our fault say most voters in Times poll - but I'm amazed that 28% think it's "far and away the most serious problem we face as a country and internationally" - more than the economy, crime, decaying so…

13th November - Today's News

October was wettest on record in USA. It was also the 3rd coldest on record. The full NOAA Press Release is here. Suffice to say that the USA is just a tiny part of the planet and 1 month is a tiny part of any climatically significant period (we usually look at a minimum for 30 years to determine any meaningful trends) so in terms of global warming/cooling/whatever it means b*gger all.

And on that vein it's also interesting to note that over the past decade record high temperatures far outpace record lows across US

There's flooding on both sides of the Atlantic: rail delays as rain brings floods in Wales - likely to be just the first of many such stories as we head in to a very wet (and windy) spell of weather here in Britain with heavy rain and gales on the way (as I forecast earlier this week). Meanwhile, in the US, Ida's torrents dump floods along Atlantic coast.

Elsewhere, Tanzania hit by deadly landslide and in India, Cyclone Phyan rains on Pune

As forecast earlier thi…

11th November - Today's News

This could make for an interesting insurance claim: mystery holes in Grovedale roof could be meteorites. Elsewhere in Australia it's rain that's been coming down as the heaviest falls in months hit central Queensland.

Rain claims 29 more lives in Nilgris whilst Cyclone Phyan threatens Mumbai

Landslides kills at least 1, injures 20 others in Italy

Blizzard hits north China - but was it manmade? Playing with weather stirs debate in China. Even without weather modification, the Chinese are predicting extreme weather forecast for Yangtze over next 50 years.

Ida weakens to a depression, heads east to Fla.

Following on from the announcement that areas of Antarctica where glaciers had melted were now absorbing more CO2 as a consequence, comes controversial new climate change data: is Earth's capacity to absorb CO2 much greater than expected?
New data show that the balance between the airborne and the absorbed fraction of carbon dioxide has stayed approximately constant since 1850,…

10th November - Today's news

Tornado hits Oregon coast as wild conditions continue

Antarctic glacier retreat creates new carbon dioxide store - is this Gaia in operation again I wonder?

Sixty missing and 124 dead after Hurricane Ida mudslide buries entire town in El Salavador, whilst Gulf Coast residents stay put ahead of Ida. Now downgraded to a tropical storm, Ida is expected to make landfall this morning in Lousiana.

The hot weather in Australia continues to spread with the first November heatwave for Adelaide expected this week - 5 days with the temperature above 35c being deemed a heatwave. Not surprisingly, some are claiming that SA heatwave is 'climate change weather'. Or maybe it's just weather.

Will drilling into a volcano trigger an eruption that destroys Naples? Er, no ....

Landslide kills 39 in southern India

After a wet October in the US, sunny November may cure this season's harvest headaches

More wholly unsurprising news as a new study announces climate models don't tell the fu…

9th November - Today's News

7th November - Today's News

Lightning's NOx-ious impact on pollution, climate

Severe storm cuts of thousands in New South Wales

Ida drenches Central America, forecast to enter Gulf - indeed, it now looks like Ida could be closing in on Florida

Expanding cities contribute to global warming (well there's a surprise!) - the full paper - publicshed by the Royal Meteorological Society can be obtained via co-author Roger Pielke Sr's website

It concludes:
Our results suggest that for both non-changed andconverted land types, agriculture, urbanization and barren soils offered the clearest patterns in terms of sign and magnitude of the OMR [observation minus reanalysis] trends. Conversion to agriculture resulted in a strong cooling. Conversely, all conversionsof agricultural lands resulted in warming. Urbanization and conversion to bare soils were also mostly associated with warming. We conclude that these LULC [land use land cover change] types constitute strong drivers of temperature change. Deforestation genera…

6th November - Today's News

In the US, the wet weather delays harvest from Midwest to South

Vietnam flood toll rises to 98

It took until November, but we finally saw an Atlantic storm make landfall as a hurricane! Just. Ida drenches Nicaragua after landfall weakens system.

Carbon trading - the next 'sub-prime' - according to Friends of the Earth. I certainly agree it's a fallacious 'solution' to the problem of increasing carbon emissions, solves nothing but possibly makes money for a few. That said, I still want them to introduce personal carbon trading in the UK so I can make a killing selling all my unneeded 'carbon credits'!

Record October temperatures in Malaga

Melting snow shrinks Mont Blanc - no such worries in the UK, although I suppose if sea levels rise then our hills will become lower too ..... But are the Alps growing or shrinking? - as fast as they erode so they rise through isostasy!

More evidence not all oil and gas may be 'fossil fuels' after all: Abiotic synthes…

5th November - Today's News

It's been a very quiet hurricane season in the Atlantic, but it's not quite over just yet and Tropical Storm Ida could trigger Nicaragua mudslides

Study uses satellites imagery to identify active magma systems in East Africa's Rift Valley

And apparently weather chaos looms - if we get a couple of inches of snow in London again this winter ....

4th November - Today's News

Why are the Himalayan glaciers melting? We don't actually know - but maybe there's a clue in reports of how much snow they used to get in the region?

Death toll rise in Vietnam floods

Volcanic and ferric surprises on Mercury

Atmospheric 'tides' trigger landslides at night

The Nazcans are added to the list of societies such as Easter Island and Greenland who brought about their own demise through uncontrolled deforestation: clearing oasis trees felled ancient Peru civilisation - not that any human activity can ever be environmentally detrimental to human society ..... as, I'm afraid to say, some still maintain.

In the wake of Beijing's cloudseeding activities, David Adam asks in The Guardian can we manipulate the weather? I would say emphatically yes, but mostly it's inadvertent and when deliberate then beware of unintended consequences. We're not all storm gods yet. As for geo-engineering to counter global warming: how about reducing our current geoengi…

3rd November - Today's News

Typhoon Mirinae weakens after crossing Vietnam coast

Sydney boils as mercury rises

Stormchasers head for supercell central - which in Australia is just south of Brisbane

I'm not sure whether to laugh or bang my head on the wall, as 'chemtrails' get a high profile write up in a provincial US newspaper - watching the skies for an H1N1 connection (yes, now chemtrails are being blamed for swine flu). Suffice to say it's full of the usual misinformation and nonsense promoted by those who see conspiracies everywhere but are utterly incapable of reading a book about weather. It's internesting to note that 'chemtrails' supposedly started appearing almost exactly the same time the internet took off ...... although the persistent contrails claimed to be chemtrails had been around for decades before - and much studied too. But never let facts get in the way of a good conspiracy!

For more reliable info on contrails try: http://www.airspacemag.com/flight-today/Flight_Li…

2nd November - Today's News

A nice autumnal day on Sunday with a bit of rain and some nice strong winds - as usual Evesham missed out on anything really exciting though. Some parts did see over 2 inches of rain. We had something more like a quarter inch....

Britain's Indian Summer ends in downpours and gales

In Wales, 13 rescued after flooding and in Scotland there were hundreds rescued as heavy rain and high winds cause flood chaos

From now on looks like typically, seasonal, unsettled weather for at least the first half of November with temperatures at best around average, but no signs of any real cold as yet.

4th typhoon leaves 14 dead in Philippines

Beijing's first snow of the season 'artificially induced' - compare with Moscow, where they're proposing carrying out weather modification (cloud seeding) to do the exact opposite: prevent snowfall.