25th July - Today's News: Heat Disrupts Trains in England


Hottest day of the year so far in Britain with 30.1c in London.   But trains miss Olympic stop as weather is too hot
.....this period 27-28th is an R4 Red weather warning meaning that (on at least 95% of occasions) rain, thunder, hail tornado risk, frontal actovity and turbulence will be significantly exacerbated in this period beyond the expectations of standard meteorology expectations from a day or so ahead
The only possible aversion of the rain could be through weather control if it would work - by cloud seeding (using dry-ice = solid CO2  or silver iodide) to make deluges and floods in Northampton instead of Stratford. We note that this was not done for the Queens river pageant on June 3rd (or if that was secretly tried it failed). It is also worth knowing these things can go catastrophically wrong. For example the tragic Lynmouth Devon flood disaster of Aug 15/16th 1952* has been attributed (or exacerbation attributed to) cloud seeding trails.
So if we don't get his forecast 'deluges' and 'thunderfloods' during the opening ceremony, it looks like he'll be blaming imaginary cloud seeding operations for it!   (The 1952 experiment, the occurred a week before the Lynmouth floods has as much to do with the floods as eating a chocolate bar causes an elephant in Thailand to become pregnant - Philip Eden wrote a good piece on this some years ago.)    The latest indications are that some showers are possible in the SE on Friday afternoon/evening, but although the weather will be turning cooler and more unsettled again, heavy rain is not expected at least for the first few days.

Midges bite the dust amid drought in the Western Isles - but record numbers reported in Argyll ......


It must rain now, or 'we're toast' says farmers in eastern Canada suffering their worst ever drought

But it's not warm everywhere in North America: Anchorage residents shiver as July temperatures hover near record low



Staying dry in rain depends on body size - though I think it depends a lot more on how heavy the rain is!

Satellite reveal sudden Greenland ice melt  - but interestingly, ice did previously melt at Summit ....... in 1889.  It seems something similar happens about every 150 years - although I'm guessing not always to the same degree.  Meanwhile, tropical plankton invade Arctic waters - but it's not necessarily due to global warming

Comments

  1. " ...this period 27-28th is an R4 Red weather warning meaning that (on at least 95% of occasions) rain, thunder, hail tornado risk, frontal actovity and turbulence will be significantly exacerbated in this period beyond the expectations of standard meteorology expectations from a day or so ahead"


    I can't parse that paragraph. What constitutes an "occasion" and what are "standard meteorology expectations from a day or so ahead"?

    Also, what constitutes "significantly exacerbated"? Is he saying that there will be "exacerbated" "rain, thunder, hail tornado risk, frontal actovity and turbulence" 95% of the 24-48 hours?

    Also, re the Greenland melt, see the links in the UKww thread. There's some interesting stuff there.

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    Replies
    1. LOL! What it basically means is that if the MetO issue a warning for the whole of England, saying 20-25mm of rain could fall in some places, and just one place gets 28mm of rain, then the MetO underestimated how much rain would fall, just as Piers predicted they would ......

      Delete
    2. With regards Greenland, compare and contrast:

      Discussion on UKww:

      http://www.ukweatherworld.co.uk/forum/index.php?/topic/92733-tipping-point-in-greenland-ice-sheet-melt/

      Discussion on WUWT:

      http://wattsupwiththat.com/2012/07/24/greenland-ice-melt-every-150-years-is-right-on-time/

      :D

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  2. Just occurred to me, do you think Boris Johnson has been persuaded by PC to ask about cloud seeding?

    "I say, couldn't we get some RAF chappies onto it? Get them to send some of their flyboys up to do it? Or I could get my old chum Wills to see if he could do some seeding from his chopper. Jolly good headlines there, 'Wills Saves The Olympics' and all that...."

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    Replies
    1. well if it doesn't rain, we'll know that that must be what happened!!!!

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  3. I tend to try and avoid wuwt as life's too short. ;)

    The 150 year timing is a little misleading as it takes a cluster of melts in the mwp and averages them over the period since, when there was just the one melt event (1889).

    Actually, looking at the NCEP reanalysis for 1889 - so definitely don't take this as gospel - it looks like that melt event may not have occurred over the whole of Greenland like this one did - remember that melt events are at summit and the European borehole in the cores. I wonder if anyone's compared them with accounts from the population that lived there - around the coasts - at the time?

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